The euro zone – Pain without end

ကမာၻ႕ေရႊေစ်း (XAUUSD) ၏ Daily chart အရ ေလာေလဆယ္တြင္ ၁၃၀၀ ေစ်းတန္းကို ေက်ာ္ျဖတ္ရန္ အခက္အခဲ ရွိေနေသးသည္။

လက္ရွိ ျဖစ္တည္ေနေသာ uptrend မွာ standard deviation channel အတိုင္း ဆက္လက္ သြားေနၿပီး Key resistance ျဖစ္ေသာ 1306 ကို တစ္ၾကိမ္ test လုပ္ရန္ ျပန္လည္ အားယူရအံုးမည္ ျဖစ္သည္။
ထို႕ေၾကာင့္ တည္ရွိေနေသာ uptrend ႏွင့္ ဆန္႕က်င္လ်က္ counter trend တစ္ခုျဖစ္ေပၚလာႏိုင္ေခ် ရွိေနၿပီး Key Support တစ္ခု ျဖစ္ေသာ 1240 (သို႕မဟုတ္) Fibo level 1260 မ်ားသို႕ retrace ျပန္ယူႏိုင္ဖြယ္ ရွိေနသည္။
RSI indicator အရ overbought zone မွ လည္း ျပန္လည္ ဆင္းသက္ လာေနေၾကာင္း ညႊန္ျပေနသည္။

လက္ရွိအခ်ိန္တြင္ ကမာၻ႕စေတာ့ရွယ္ယာေစ်းကြက္မ်ား အားေကာင္းေနၿပီး ျပင္သစ္ ေရြးေကာက္ပဲြ ပထမအေက်ာ့တြင္ လက္ယာစြန္းေရာက္ အမ်ဳိးသားေရးပါတီ ေခါင္းေဆာင္ မာရင္း လီပန္း ႏွင့္ အျပိဳင္ အလယ္အလတ္ လမ္းစဥ္ လုိက္သူ အီမန္၀ဲလ္ မက္ခရြန္ ရဲ႕ မဲရလဒ္ေတြက ဒုတိယ အေက်ာ့မွာ လီပန္းကို ယွဥ္ျပိဳင္လာဖြယ္ရာ ရွိေနတာေၾကာင့္ ယူရိုေငြေၾကး ရုတ္တရက္ ျမင့္တက္သြားခဲ့ရျခင္း ျဖစ္သည္။ ယေန႕ အဂၤါေန႕ မနက္ပိုင္းတြင္ေတာ့ ယူရို၏ လက္ရွိအျမတ္အစြန္းမ်ား ျပန္လည္ ရယူလိုက္မႈေၾကာင့္ EUR/USD မွာျပန္လည္ က်ဆင္းလာခဲ့သည္။

ကေနဒါ ႏိုင္ငံ၏ သစ္အေခ်ာထည္ တင္ပို႕မႈအေပၚ အေမရိကန္ ႏုိင္ငံမွ ၂၀ % အခြန္သစ္ စည္းၾကပ္မည္ဟု ေၾကျငာခ်က္ ထုတ္ျပန္ၿပီးေနာက္ ကေနဒါေဒၚလာ တန္ဖိုးမွာ အေမရိကန္ေဒၚလာႏွင့္ ယွဥ္လ်င္ နိမ့္က်သြား ခဲ့ရၿပီး USD/CAD မွာ ဆက္လက္ ျမင့္တက္လ်က္ရွိေနသည္။

အေမရိကန္ ေရွ႕ေဆာင္ စေတာ့အညႊန္းကိန္းမ်ားျဖစ္ေသာ Dow Jone 30 and S&P 500 တို႕ႏွင့္ အတူ ဂ်ာမန္စေတာ့ အညႊန္းကိန္း DAX ႏွင့္ လန္ဒန္ အညႊန္းကိန္း FTSE တို႕အပါအ၀င္ တိုက်ဳိ အညႊန္းကိန္း Nikkei 225 တို႕ ေအာင္ပဲြခံလ်က္ ရွိေနၾကျခင္းေၾကာင့္ ကမာၻ႕ေရႊေစ်းကြက္ မွာ ဖိအားမ်ားလ်က္ ရွိေနခဲ့သည္။

ကမာၻ႕ ရင္းႏွီးျမႈပ္ႏွံမႈ ဘဏ္ၾကီးမ်ားျဖစ္ေသာ JP Morgan ႏွင့္ Goldman Sachs တို႕၏ ရွယ္ယာမ်ားလည္း ျမင့္တက္လာကာ top gainers အျဖစ္ ရပ္တည္ေနခဲ့ၾကျခင္းေၾကာင့္ ကမာၻ႕ေရႊေစ်းကြက္အတြင္း ရင္းႏွီးျမႈပ္ႏွံမႈ ေလ့်နည္းလ်က္ ရွိေနၿပီး ၂၀၁၇ ခုႏွစ္ အတြင္း FED ၏ အတိုးႏံႈး ေပၚလစီ မ်ားေၾကာင့္ ေစ်းဆက္လက္ က်ဆင္းႏိုင္ဖြယ္ရာမ်ား ရွိေနပါသည္။

သို႕ေသာ္ ေျမာက္ကိုရီးယား ႏွင့္ အေမရိကန္ တို႕၏ ျႏဴးကလီးယား ဆိုင္ရာ တင္းမာမႈမ်ား ႏွင့္ ရုရွ တို႕၏ ကမာၻ႕ႏိုင္ငံေရး ဇာတ္ခံုတြင္ တစ္ေက်ာ့ျပန္ ေနရာယူလာႏိုင္မႈမ်ားက ကမာၻ႕ေရႊေစ်းကြက္ အတြက္ အေထာက္အပံံ့ေကာင္း ျဖစ္လာႏိုင္ဖြယ္ရာ ရွိေနပါေတာ့သည္။

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